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Aftershocks - MMM v4-12

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • March 20, 2023 • 0 Comments
Aftershocks - MMM v4-12

Last week was certainly an eventful one. It seemed every day had a "crisis" at a (relatively) small bank, which caused a big drop in share prices across the financial sector. This pulled the markets lower, but then a rumor, news release, government announcement, or something else emerged to calm

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Musings,SVB,Bank Failures,Federal Reserve,Bailouts

Cracks Emerging - MMM v4-11

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • March 13, 2023 • 0 Comments
Cracks Emerging - MMM v4-11

This year I've marveled about the optimism shown by market participants and Wall Street experts alike who truly believe the Fed has reigned in inflation and would not cause a recession (or even a slowdown in earnings). They also believed the Fed would be stopping their rate hikes soon, which

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Musings,SVB,Yield Spread

Genuine Faith: James Study (Part 3)

By Courtney Dent • March 08, 2023 • 0 Comments
Genuine Faith: James Study (Part 3)

In this next section of James, we're going to be discussing faith and works. Faith and works are brought up several times throughout the Bible. Faith is "strong belief in God or in the doctrines of a religion, based on spiritual apprehension rather than proof." Hebrews 11:1 says, “Faith

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Cornerstone,James Study,Impact

Eternal Optimism - MMM v4-10

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • March 06, 2023 • 0 Comments
Eternal Optimism - MMM v4-10

It's probably hard for most people to understand 25 years ago the Federal Reserve was quite secretive and didn't have the sole (perceived) focus of keeping the stock market afloat. Then in 1998, the Federal Reserve decided to bailout a handful of Wall Street banks who were overexposed to a

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Musings,Interest Rates,Fed Balance Sheet

Not according to plan - MMM v4-9

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • February 27, 2023 • 0 Comments
Not according to plan - MMM v4-9

Investor behavior is fascinating to watch. While we all have implicit biases in how we analyze the market environment, the bias which causes the most damage is "overconfidence".  Most humans overestimate their ability to both forecast the future as well as to adapt to new information. Ironically, the higher the

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Musings,consumer spending,Personal Income
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The purpose of SEM’s Traders Blog is to provide simple explanations about the current market environment. It is designed to give advisors talking points about the market and for individual investors to better understand what is happening.

Each week SEM posts a Chart of the Week to illustrate one aspect of the market in a different way than you might hear in the mainstream financial media. Throughout the week other posts will be made depending on the volatility, news events, or changes in SEM’s Scientifically Engineered Models​

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