You may have a hard time believing it based on the stock market's reaction, but the May Jobs report was not an overwhelmingly positive development for the stock market. The gains on Friday swung the S&P 500 back into positive territory for the week and has it within
Tag: SEM Model Update
Remember when the market was terrified of its own shadow back in April? Well, the AI trade slapped a rally cap on Wall Street and dragged the major indexes back into the green. Meanwhile, Washington and Beijing are playing “Rollback Roulette,” and the President is again blasting Jerome Powell harder
It's always interesting how the narratives can shift for the stock market. From the election in November until the middle of February the story was how the "pro-business" policies of President Trump would unlock impressive economic growth, low inflation, lower interest rates, and thus higher than average earnings growth. This
After years of minor battles, last week the Trump Trade War exploded across the globe with his "Liberation Day" announcement on Wednesday afternoon. On day 1 in office he signed an order to study all trade agreements with a due date at the beginning of April. We knew the day
The stock market continues its stampede higher following the re-election of Donald Trump. The assumption is apparently everything will be awesome. I truly hope that is the case, but as I outlined the week after the election, there are several areas where I believe voters, investors, and the President-elect himself