During a bear market each countermove is closely examined. Our sensitivity is heightened because psychologically losses cause twice the emotional response as gains. Throughout the year we've warned about not being sucked into the inevitable bear market rallies. The 3rd quarter started with a huge rally in October with November
"It is likely that restoring price stability will require holding policy at a restrictive level for some time. History cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy. We will stay the course until the job is done." - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, November 30, 2022
The above statement is the only
Hopefully everyone had a safe and enjoyable Thanksgiving week. The stock market continued its latest bear market rally albeit on very light trading activity. The markets move in cycles and as we said for the last few weeks, it is important to understand this. Markets do not go straight down
Fear and greed are both strong emotions which cause us to often make irrational decisions. During bull markets FOMO "fear of missing out" leads to seemingly unstoppable rallies despite little fundamental logic for the rally. Sure, we convince ourselves there is a good reason for a specific stock or the
Why do we even bother listening to the Federal Reserve? Even if we ignore all of their failings in the late 1990s and again before, during, and after the financial crisis, let's look at how terrible the Fed has been at predicting the post-COVID economy.
Throughout 2021, the Fed told
