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In Debt We Trust

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • August 23, 2017 • 0 Comments
In Debt We Trust

One of the common themes from the bullish analysts continues to be, “household balance sheets are much more healthy than they were at the start of the financial crisis.” The data these analysts are using relates only to mortgage debt and the amount of money each month used

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Chart of the Week,debt

The Problem With Statistics

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • August 18, 2017 • 0 Comments
The Problem With Statistics

The past few weeks I’ve been fortunate enough to sit in over a dozen client meetings with our advisors. Whether they were prospective SEM clients or longer-term clients, there has been a common theme — most do not see any risk in the market. One even commented, “

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Chart of the Week,Valuations

Coiled Spring or Calm Before the Storm?

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • August 04, 2017 • 0 Comments
Coiled Spring or Calm Before the Storm?

For those of you that have been away from your computer the past two weeks you haven’t missed much. The last 13 days has been one of the most calm on record. Yesterday I heard one analyst say the sideways movement was a coiled spring ready to explode

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Chart of the Week,Volatility

About those earnings

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • July 27, 2017 • 0 Comments
About those earnings

Earnings season has brought a constant stream of “better than expected” earnings reports, which has led to a seemingly endless string of new record highs for the S&P 500. The bulls have argued the new highs are justified based on the earnings the companies behind them

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Chart of the Week

Staying Solvent

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • July 20, 2017 • 0 Comments
Staying Solvent

“Buy when investors are fearful, sell when they are greedy.” – Warren Buffet

 

Having managed money through both the tech & housing bubbles, you would think nothing could surprise me when it comes to stock market manias. Warren Buffet’s advice to sell when they are

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Chart of the Week,Sentiment,Volatility
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The purpose of SEM’s Traders Blog is to provide simple explanations about the current market environment. It is designed to give advisors talking points about the market and for individual investors to better understand what is happening.

Each week SEM posts a Chart of the Week to illustrate one aspect of the market in a different way than you might hear in the mainstream financial media. Throughout the week other posts will be made depending on the volatility, news events, or changes in SEM’s Scientifically Engineered Models​

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This site is for INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. The comments and posts published in the SEM Trader's Blog ARE NOT investment recommendations. They can NEVER be considered as trading calls or advices. If you decide to use the information offered here for your real trading it is at your own risk. CFA® and Chartered Financial Analyst® are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

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