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Wrong Kind of Consistency

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • February 10, 2017 • 0 Comments
Wrong Kind of Consistency

Early in my career I was a “fundamental” analyst. This meant pouring through financial statements, digging into what made an industry work, making economic predictions, and then applying that to the earnings of a specific company. I quickly learned how hard it was to consistently be right (or

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Chart of the Week,Earnings Estimates,Forecasts

The Problem with Predictions

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • February 06, 2017 • 0 Comments
The Problem with Predictions

Super Bowl 51 was arguably the best Super Bowl of all-time. It gave us the biggest comeback ever along with the first Super Bowl to go to overtime. At the same time we saw Tom Brady move into sole possession of several individual Super Bowl records (despite a very

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Forecasts,Predictions

How much is a job worth?

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • February 03, 2017 • 0 Comments
How much is a job worth?

We learned this morning the US added an estimated 227,000 jobs in the month of January. Of course we have both sides taking credit for this impressive number. The Democrats say it is the result of President Obama’s policies and cite the “record setting” job

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Chart of the Week,Jobs

Good Trump-Bad Trump

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • January 30, 2017 • 0 Comments
Good Trump-Bad Trump

For the most part investors have been focusing on all of Donald Trump’s “good” policies since his election. Things such as mass tax cuts, infrastructure spending, and cuts in regulation in theory would provide a strong boost to the economy. (I say “in theory”

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Behavioral Biases,Trump

Fundamental Support for Rally

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • January 26, 2017 • 0 Comments
Fundamental Support for Rally

While many people (including this writer) have been too quick to dismiss the “animal spirits” following the election of Donald Trump, something has been happening beneath the surface — economic growth has been accelerating. The Conference Board Leading Economic Indicators have shown a strong pick-up in recent

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Chart of the Week,Economy,Leading Indicators
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The purpose of SEM’s Traders Blog is to provide simple explanations about the current market environment. It is designed to give advisors talking points about the market and for individual investors to better understand what is happening.

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