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Economic Update & 2017 Outlook

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • December 27, 2016 • 0 Comments

2016 started with angst & ended with a euphoric rally as investors hoped the election results would lead to significantly higher economic growth. Is this hope unfounded? What should we be paying attention to in 2017? What should investors expect 2017 to look like? All of these can be answered

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Economy,Predictions,Presentation

Tis the Season

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • December 23, 2016 • 0 Comments
Tis the Season

It’s the time of year where portfolio managers and investors alike are in a festive mood, which typically leads to a nice rise in the market. The so-called “Santa Claus” rally typically begins the week before Christmas and then carries into the new year. Whether it

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Christmas,Federal Reserve

Odds not in Trump's favor

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • December 22, 2016 • 0 Comments
Odds not in Trump's favor

The market is pricing in a perfect execution of Donald Trump’s positive plans and ignoring any possible negative outcomes despite his inconsistent behavior. Many are expecting a return of the Reagan years without factoring in the differences between the situation Ronald Reagan inherited relative to the situation

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Chart of the Week,Trump

Still all about the Fed?

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • December 12, 2016 • 0 Comments
Still all about the Fed?

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates this week for the first time in a year. Unlike previous expectations of the Fed pulling back their “stimulus”, the market has not only shrugged its shoulders, but rallied in the face of these rate hikes. This is a welcome development as

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Federal Reserve,QE

The Investor Behavior Cycle

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • December 09, 2016 • 0 Comments
The Investor Behavior Cycle

Human nature does not change. Going back at least to the time of Moses we see humans letting their emotions getting in the way of sound decision making. The Israelites were slaves in Egypt for hundreds of years and saw miracles from God that led to their release from Egypt.

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Chart of the Week,Investor Behavior
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The purpose of SEM’s Traders Blog is to provide simple explanations about the current market environment. It is designed to give advisors talking points about the market and for individual investors to better understand what is happening.

Each week SEM posts a Chart of the Week to illustrate one aspect of the market in a different way than you might hear in the mainstream financial media. Throughout the week other posts will be made depending on the volatility, news events, or changes in SEM’s Scientifically Engineered Models​

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This site is for INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. The comments and posts published in the SEM Trader's Blog ARE NOT investment recommendations. They can NEVER be considered as trading calls or advices. If you decide to use the information offered here for your real trading it is at your own risk. CFA® and Chartered Financial Analyst® are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

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