Tag: Behavioral Biases

Total 21 Posts
Behavioral Biases

Overconfidence

The first quarter is in the books with the S&P 500 closing up 5.5%. Given this impressive performance for US based large cap stocks, you would think it was a quarter of good news. Unfortunately for long-term investors it was a quarter based on EXPECTATIONS of FUTURE

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Behavioral Biases & Our Analysis of the President: 1st Quarter 2017 Economic Update

For the first time since the election, investors seem to be calling into question their expectations for the Trump Administration. Since the election I’ve warned about being overly confident in any predictions regarding the ability for the new president and Congress to implement any of their campaign ideas. The

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No Frame of Reference

Last week we went through what I believe will be looked back at a major change in the political structure of our country. History books are always written with the benefit of hindsight, cherry-picking specific events to make it seem that the way history played out was predictable. (It’

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