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Top Heavy Market

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • June 26, 2019 • 0 Comments
Top Heavy Market

After one of the worst May’s in decades, the S&P 500 is on the verge of the best June in over half a century. This follows the best start to the year since 1987 and the worst Christmas Eve on record. It is easy to see

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Chart of the Week

At best, they can re-inflate the bubble

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • June 19, 2019 • 0 Comments
At best, they can re-inflate the bubble

This week the Federal Reserve gave every indication they are ready to cut interest rates as soon as July to fight a slowdown in economic growth (or at least that’s how the stock market participants took it.) Despite the celebration there are really only two outcomes for the

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Chart of the Week,Federal Reserve

Avoiding Large Losses

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • June 12, 2019 • 0 Comments
Avoiding Large Losses

Bad news is good news right now for investors. It seems the uglier the economic data, the more excited they become. The reason, as we cited last week was the belief this will lead to Fed interest rate cuts sooner rather than later. Investors are conditioned to believe anytime the

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Chart of the Week,High Yield Bonds,SEM Model Update,Tactical Bond

Is the Fed too late (again)?

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • June 05, 2019 • 0 Comments
Is the Fed too late (again)?

On Tuesday, stocks posted their best single day jump since December. Earlier in the day, the financial media attributed it to a Chinese official saying the trade dispute with the US should be resolved with “talks”, not retaliatory tariffs. Later in the afternoon, the media said the rally

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Chart of the Week,economic growth,Economic Update,SEM Model Update

The Debt to Equity Swap

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • May 29, 2019 • 0 Comments
The Debt to Equity Swap

Oftentimes taking a step back and looking at the big picture leads to a crystallization of what is actually happening.

 

  • The Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Easing (QE) program created an additional $4 Trillion of money.

  • The Fed used QE to pull $4 trillion of debt out of the

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Chart of the Week
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About the Blog

The purpose of SEM’s Traders Blog is to provide simple explanations about the current market environment. It is designed to give advisors talking points about the market and for individual investors to better understand what is happening.

Each week SEM posts a Chart of the Week to illustrate one aspect of the market in a different way than you might hear in the mainstream financial media. Throughout the week other posts will be made depending on the volatility, news events, or changes in SEM’s Scientifically Engineered Models​

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This site is for INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. The comments and posts published in the SEM Trader's Blog ARE NOT investment recommendations. They can NEVER be considered as trading calls or advices. If you decide to use the information offered here for your real trading it is at your own risk. CFA® and Chartered Financial Analyst® are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Investing in the stock or bond markets involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Before making any investment decisions you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with your investments and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. All investments involve risk including those managed by SEM Wealth Management.

Opinions expressed at www.semwealth.com and tradersblog.semwealth.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of SEM Wealth Management or its management. Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices or other information contained on this website, by SEM, its employees, partners or contributors, is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. SEM will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

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