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A Trillion Dollar Slowdown

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • October 30, 2019 • 0 Comments
A Trillion Dollar Slowdown

Earlier this week we learned the US Government ran a nearly $1 Trillion deficit this fiscal year. Despite promising 4%+ GDP growth to pay for the tax cuts, the temporary boost has already reversed and the trend is now clearly to the downside. As I’ve said since the

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Chart of the Week,GDP

Still Slowing -- 4th Quarter Market Update

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • October 23, 2019 • 0 Comments

The stock market is attempting to stabilize, but the economic indicators continue to point to a slowdown. In this brief economic update I highlight what the DATA is saying along with ideas on what you should be doing to prepare for what could be a big move up or down.

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Chart of the Week,economic growth,Economic Update,Presentation

We just want you to stick to the plan

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • October 17, 2019 • 0 Comments
We just want you to stick to the plan

I presented at a financial planning meeting this week the “missing link” we’ve witnessed the past 20+ years. While providing a financial plan and cash flow strategy is absolutely necessary to build a behavioral portfolio that can withstand the market and emotional cycles nearly all investors

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Chart of the Week

A Plan for All Markets

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • October 10, 2019 • 0 Comments
A Plan for All Markets

Volatility has become the norm it seems. After a nice steady first year under President Trump, since the beginning of 2018 we have seen the market swing wildly. The key drivers have been interest rates and trade policies. Both have put a sharp focus on the chances of entering a

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Chart of the Week,SEM Model Update,Volatility

Your Starting Point Matters

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • October 08, 2019 • 0 Comments
Your Starting Point Matters

Since our founding 27 years ago, SEM has understood one critical fact — investors are humans, not robots. Each year DALBAR releases the Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior (QAIB). They study the buy & sell patterns of stock and bond investors and compare the returns of the average investor to

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Chart of the Week,Investor Behavior,Valuations
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The purpose of SEM’s Traders Blog is to provide simple explanations about the current market environment. It is designed to give advisors talking points about the market and for individual investors to better understand what is happening.

Each week SEM posts a Chart of the Week to illustrate one aspect of the market in a different way than you might hear in the mainstream financial media. Throughout the week other posts will be made depending on the volatility, news events, or changes in SEM’s Scientifically Engineered Models​

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This site is for INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. The comments and posts published in the SEM Trader's Blog ARE NOT investment recommendations. They can NEVER be considered as trading calls or advices. If you decide to use the information offered here for your real trading it is at your own risk. CFA® and Chartered Financial Analyst® are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Investing in the stock or bond markets involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Before making any investment decisions you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with your investments and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. All investments involve risk including those managed by SEM Wealth Management.

Opinions expressed at www.semwealth.com and tradersblog.semwealth.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of SEM Wealth Management or its management. Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices or other information contained on this website, by SEM, its employees, partners or contributors, is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. SEM will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

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There is no representation made as to the future results of SEM's programs or if they will be profitable.

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