Wall Street likes to throw around a lot of terms as they attempt to form a narrative for their clients. Often times the narrative begins to shape the analysis done by those firms. For instance, I mentioned last week the forecasts for the top Wall Street firms. JPMorgan & BMO
"It is likely that restoring price stability will require holding policy at a restrictive level for some time. History cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy. We will stay the course until the job is done." - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, November 30, 2022
The above statement is the only
The Federal Reserve has been going out of their way to tell the stock and bond market that they will be focusing solely on taming inflation and won't be looking to stimulate the economy unless inflation is under control. Too much money floating around the system led to too much
Imagine a world where headline inflation is reported at 5% and the stock market rallies. That's exactly what happened last week. I received several questions from advisors and clients asking how that can happen.
The simple answer is "the market already expected this." We are comparing prices and economic activity
When it comes to the weather in Arizona, we’re almost on the same weather schedule as the southern hemisphere. Sure, our warm period is the same as the rest of the country (using “warm” liberally here) but in reality, we’re all kind of waiting around for fall and