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Recalibrating - MMM v5-39

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • September 23, 2024 • 0 Comments
Recalibrating - MMM v5-39

The Federal Reserve made a major pivot last week in their policy. After declaring 'mission accomplished' in their inflation fight, the Fed almost immediately shifted to stimulation mode over growth concerns and a slowdown in the labor market. As we stated in our most recent economic update, yes growth is

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Musings,Federal Reserve,Interest Rates,Rate Cuts

All clear? - MMM v5-38

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • September 16, 2024 • 0 Comments
All clear? - MMM v5-38

This week the Federal Reserve is expected to do what they first hinted at 11 months ago – to cut interest rates. They have already declared "mission accomplished" in their inflation fight. The market is programmed to initially celebrate any sign of Fed policy easing. On paper it makes sense. If

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Musings,Interest Rates,Rate Cuts

"For such a time as this": Esther Study (Part 2)

By Courtney Dent • September 12, 2024 • 0 Comments
"For such a time as this": Esther Study (Part 2)

Last month, we studied the first two chapters of Esther. These chapters set the scene of the rest of the book, where we learned of King Xerxes and saw Esther crowned queen. This month, it's going to get more intense as there is a plot to kill all of Esther's

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Cornerstone,Impact,Esther Study

Too slow? - MMM v5-37

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • September 09, 2024 • 0 Comments
Too slow? - MMM v5-37

A year ago, the stock market was in the midst of a 10% correction over fears the economic data was too strong, which meant the Fed was going to continue in their inflation fight. The sell-off started when the Fed hiked rates after a one meeting pause. The sell-off didn't

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Musings,Fed,SEM Model Update,Economic Data,Economic Update

Why guess? - MMM v 5-36

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • September 03, 2024 • 0 Comments
Why guess? - MMM v 5-36

Long weekends are a good time to relax, reflect, and plan. Historically the end of Labor Day weekend also marked the time the 'head honchos' from Wall Street returned to the office with fresh ideas and some big portfolio adjustments to make. With everyone able to work remotely now, I'm

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Musings,Consumer Sentiment,Yield Spread
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The purpose of SEM’s Traders Blog is to provide simple explanations about the current market environment. It is designed to give advisors talking points about the market and for individual investors to better understand what is happening.

Each week SEM posts a Chart of the Week to illustrate one aspect of the market in a different way than you might hear in the mainstream financial media. Throughout the week other posts will be made depending on the volatility, news events, or changes in SEM’s Scientifically Engineered Models​

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