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Is Inflation a Problem? - MMM v2-24

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • June 14, 2021 • 0 Comments
Is Inflation a Problem? - MMM v2-24

Imagine a world where headline inflation is reported at 5% and the stock market rallies. That's exactly what happened last week. I received several questions from advisors and clients asking how that can happen.

The simple answer is "the market already expected this." We are comparing prices and economic activity

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Musings,inflation,recession

Still broken - MMM v2-23

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • June 07, 2021 • 0 Comments
Still broken - MMM v2-23

The economic recovery should be back in full force with anybody who wanted to be vaccinated already receiving their vaccinations, the CDC essentially saying those who are vaccinated can do whatever they want, the number of new COVID cases at very low levels, and pretty much every state fully lifting

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Musings,SEM Model Update,Economic Update

Modern Day Golden Calves - Cornerstone Impact Update

By Courtney Dent • June 02, 2021 • 0 Comments
Modern Day Golden Calves - Cornerstone Impact Update

Throughout the Bible we see examples of idolatry. I don't know about you, but whenever I read examples of idolatry in the Bible, specifically with the golden calf (see Exodus 32), I think the Israelites are crazy. Why would anyone worship that over God? God has done so many good

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Cornerstone,Impact

At what cost? - MMM v2-22

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • June 01, 2021 • 0 Comments
At what cost? - MMM v2-22

We paused on Monday to remember all those who sacrificed their lives to defend our freedom. As I've said many time, we live in the greatest country in the world because in times of crisis Americans have always come together to sacrifice for the good of the country. I've always

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Musings,Chart of the Week,consumer spending,Personal Income

Tapering Expectations - MMM v2-21

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • May 24, 2021 • 0 Comments
Tapering Expectations - MMM v2-21

Stocks have essentially gone nowhere since mid-April. It seems all of the catalysts that led to the parabolic rally in the market for the past year have come and gone. Now the question is – what's next?

For most of this year we've talked about the 4 pillars of the rally:

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Musings,Chart of the Week
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The purpose of SEM’s Traders Blog is to provide simple explanations about the current market environment. It is designed to give advisors talking points about the market and for individual investors to better understand what is happening.

Each week SEM posts a Chart of the Week to illustrate one aspect of the market in a different way than you might hear in the mainstream financial media. Throughout the week other posts will be made depending on the volatility, news events, or changes in SEM’s Scientifically Engineered Models​

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