There were many times in 2023 & 2024 where I sat down to write the blog and I thought, "how many different ways can I say the same thing?" Back then it was all about the mega cap stocks (eventually named the "Magnificent 7" or "Mag 7") and how they
Markets move in cycles. This is obvious to anybody who has tracked the market for more than a few years. Part of each cycle is the "driver" of the move (up or down). The bulk of 2023 and 2024 was on mega-cap tech stocks and AI in particular. Following the
Everything becomes more clear as we gain the benefit of hindsight. My experience and SEM's use of quantitative models which remove emotion from the decision making certainly makes it a bit easier for me to see things a bit more clearly in real-time, but I am also human and there
If the stock market was a living creature, I picture it as a diabolical schemer who enjoys seeing as many people suffer as possible. One way he or she would do that would be to act like your friend, to give you gifts, and make your life seem easy. Then,
Whether sports, business, or war, the person designing the strategy is attempting to confuse their opponents to gain an edge. Sometimes the goal is to throw complete chaos at them. If they don't know what to expect, they will always be on their heels.
For most of modern US history
