2022 was the worst year for stocks since the financial crisis. The year started with the worst performers of 2022 posting some impressive results the first 5 weeks of the year. After, the inevitable bounceback reality set in. There were plenty of risks in play – a looming recession, on-going Fed
As expected, the debt ceiling negotiators have worked out a deal to avoid "catastrophe". The stock market never really thought the debt ceiling wouldn't be raised/temporarily cancelled. The bond market has been showing a bit of a concern over short-term liquidity as well as putting in place plans to
I don't know about you, but I'm already tired of hearing about the debt ceiling. The media is sensationalizing it. Both sides of the political aisle are blaming the other side and acting like they had nothing to do with it. Worry is picking up among individual investors. Meanwhile the
I hate talking politics, but we've been fielding a lot of questions about the debt ceiling and the chances of default. I've actually been avoiding writing about this because every time I think about it, my blood pressure skyrockets. The fact that we are back here AGAIN is a failure
Despite the much better than expected payrolls report, nearly all of the economic data in our model is showing signs of stalling out. Our economic model has been "bearish" since April 2022 after going "neutral" in October 2021. Our model isn't designed to call the beginning of a recession or
