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#Trumped (updated 5/13)

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • May 07, 2019 • 0 Comments
#Trumped (updated 5/13)

At the end of April the S&P 500 (barely) reached a new all-time high. The next day, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell mentioned the slowdown in the economy is likely “transitory”, which is Fed-speak for temporary. This seemed to remove the prospects from traders’ minds about a rate

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Chart of the Week,SEM Model Update,Trade War

Growth at What Cost?

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • April 30, 2019 • 0 Comments
Growth at What Cost?

GDP growth surprised nearly everyone in the 1st quarter rising 3.2% in the past year. The president of course pointed to his economic policies as the cause of this “great” increase. Never mind the fact the long-term average growth rate is 3.1%. This has been the

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Chart of the Week,debt

One year closer to insolvency

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • April 24, 2019 • 0 Comments
One year closer to insolvency

This week the Trustees of the Social Security & Medicare Trust funds released their annual report. They reported under current law Medicare will be insolvent by 2026 and Social Security by 2035. That’s in 7 & 16 years respectively. Their assumptions also include steady 3% economic growth with no

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Chart of the Week,Medicare,Social Security,Weekend Reading

This is not sustainable

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • April 17, 2019 • 0 Comments
This is not sustainable

Debt is future spending brought forward. Another way to think about it, debt will hurt future spending. As I was talking to several advisors and clients this week after the end of tax season I couldn’t help but think of our country’s debt problems. Few people want to

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Chart of the Week,debt

The Value of Our Behavioral Approach

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • April 10, 2019 • 0 Comments
The Value of Our Behavioral Approach

I was quoted in two articles this week. On Sunday, the New York Times published “When Gambling Seems Like a Good Investment“. The article discussed ways financial advisors deal with aggressive clients. It gave me the opportunity to highlight our behavioral approach. In this case, I discussed how

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Behavioral Biases,Chart of the Week
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