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The Experiment Cont'd

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • January 04, 2019 • 0 Comments
The Experiment Cont'd

The Federal Reserve has come under intense scrutiny, not only from our President, but also from the stock market bulls who are blaming them for the 2018 sell-off. Specifically they are going after Fed Chairman Jay Powell saying he “doesn’t understand how the markets work” or

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Chart of the Week,Economic Update,Fed Balance Sheet,Market Update,Quantitative Easing,Weekend Reading

4th Quarter 2018 - Winter Newsletter

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • December 31, 2018 • 0 Comments
4th Quarter 2018 - Winter Newsletter

What in the world changed?

December is supposed to be a good month for stocks. Instead it turned into one of the worst Decembers since the Great Depression. Many people are now asking if this is a start of a bear market..

 

We will not know until we have

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Newsletter

A Tale of Two Markets

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • December 28, 2018 • 0 Comments
A Tale of Two Markets

Based on my conversations with advisors and investors, enthusiasm for stocks had hit euphoric levels in mid-September. The most common theme was “why am I not making more money?” or “how can I get in on these record stock market gains?” When previously “conservative”

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Chart of the Week,Correction,Market Update,SEM Model Update

What in the world changed?

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • December 26, 2018 • 0 Comments
What in the world changed?

December is supposed to be a good month for stocks. Instead it is threatening to be the worst December since the Great Depression. I do remember some particularly bad Decembers in my 20+ years of managing money — 2000, 2002, 2008 all stick in my mind as not a fun

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Client Management,Correction,Financial Planning

Putting market losses in perspective

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • December 19, 2018 • 0 Comments
Putting market losses in perspective

Depending on how the last part of December plays out, we could be bombarded with doomsday headlines. Already I’ve seen articles talking about the “worst start to December since the Great Depression” from both CNBC and CNN.  The market losses are showing up on local news stations and in

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Market losses,Market Update,Presentation,SEM Model Update,Volatility
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The purpose of SEM’s Traders Blog is to provide simple explanations about the current market environment. It is designed to give advisors talking points about the market and for individual investors to better understand what is happening.

Each week SEM posts a Chart of the Week to illustrate one aspect of the market in a different way than you might hear in the mainstream financial media. Throughout the week other posts will be made depending on the volatility, news events, or changes in SEM’s Scientifically Engineered Models​

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This site is for INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. The comments and posts published in the SEM Trader's Blog ARE NOT investment recommendations. They can NEVER be considered as trading calls or advices. If you decide to use the information offered here for your real trading it is at your own risk. CFA® and Chartered Financial Analyst® are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Investing in the stock or bond markets involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Before making any investment decisions you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with your investments and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. All investments involve risk including those managed by SEM Wealth Management.

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