As we go into the 23rd week since the COVID19 panic began it's hard to get a grasp on the big picture. I attended two more virtual conferences last week and two big name firms essentially said fundamentals do not matter – for now there is no other alternative to stocks
Like a prisoner, marking the days is a way to keep track of the passage of time. Days can blur together and it is easy to lose touch with the outside world. For the past 19 weeks I've been marking the weeks with the hope we'll be able to resume
For over a decade I've been listening to "experts" recommend investors dump bonds and use dividend paying stocks for the fixed income needs of clients. I've again heard this advice in the past month. This is what I thought of:
For over a decade I've pointed out two
At the start of the year we always are bombarded by forecasts of what the 'experts' believe could happen in the year ahead. Whether specific or implied, the overwhelming consensus is investors should reduce their bond exposure and add more stock exposure.
The arguments are all similar --- Treasury bond
Last March the markets panicked as the yield curve “inverted”. It inverted once again this week causing a sharp sell-off on Wednesday. An inverted yield curve means short-term interest rates are higher than long-term interest rates. This has long been known as a leading indicator of a recession.
