Do you ever wonder what the history books will say about 2020? How much space will really be dedicated to the last few months? I often think about that as I study history. Think of how relatively little space was dedicated to the Civil War or World War I back
Tag: Economic Update
Being a data driven, scientifically-minded investment manager, we've always been uncomfortable making decisions that did not have a solid basis. Our study of behavioral finance and market history, as well as nearly three decades of experience managing money tells us our brains often can play tricks on us. This realization
The great COVID experiment has begun. As we enter the 8th week since the US Coronavirus panic began, some states have begun to open back up. While not a controlled experiment with a ton of different variables coming into play, in four weeks we will at least have some data
With the stock market calming down somewhat and the country looking at the next phase of the crisis, I wanted to take some time to walk through what we are seeing in the economy, the stock market, and SEM's investment models. I know many advisors and investors alike have questioned
At the beginning of October, I pointed out the sensationalism of the financial media when they pointed out how the ISM Manufacturing Index posted the worst number in 10 years. It was only 0.2 lower than the previous 10 year low. After a rebound in October, the ISM Manufacturing