Mapping the Next Move

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • March 12, 2020 • 0 Comments

The headlines this week were alarming. On Monday we saw "Worst drop in 12 years", "Trading halted", "Credit markets seizing up", "Oil prices crash", and many more were all over my smart devices. Thursday was even worse with the "worst loss since 1987" headlines. Hopefully readers of this blog were

Stay Calm

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • March 06, 2020 • 0 Comments

Here's a short video message to our clients and advisors about the market sell-off.

Key points in the video:

Stay Calm – Our brains don’t like uncertainty, which causes us to over-react.
Real Issue is nobody knows what this will do to the economy and earnings ---What price should we

Bottoms are a Process

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • March 05, 2020 • 0 Comments

For 12 years we've been programmed to "buy the dip", especially whenever the Federal Reserve steps in to provide stimulus. As I went through in great detail yesterday, the Fed does not have the right tools to fight this kind of economic event. (I categorized the post as "Weekend Reading"

A Little Perspective Helps

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • February 26, 2020 • 0 Comments

The market has been in a free fall this week. While I watch CNBC and Bloomberg on alternating days in the office, at home we watch the local news in the mornings. It is typically filled with weather, traffic, reports on happenings in the Richmond area, and some "feel good"

About the Blog

The purpose of SEM’s Traders Blog is to provide simple explanations about the current market environment. It is designed to give advisors talking points about the market and for individual investors to better understand what is happening.

Each week SEM posts a Chart of the Week to illustrate one aspect of the market in a different way than you might hear in the mainstream financial media. Throughout the week other posts will be made depending on the volatility, news events, or changes in SEM’s Scientifically Engineered Models