Volatility has become the norm it seems. After a nice steady first year under President Trump, since the beginning of 2018 we have seen the market swing wildly. The key drivers have been interest rates and trade policies. Both have put a sharp focus on the chances of entering a
Tag: SEM Model Update
After 25 years of following the financial markets every day, you’d think I’d grow used to the sensationalized headlines of every single market move and every single economic data point. Today the financial media was reminding us that the ISM Manufacturing data released this morning showed
Thursday started as a good day. After a slow start to the day, the stock market was staging a nice rally as investors figured one rate cut was better than no rate cuts. Both Treasury bonds and high yield bonds were sharply higher (which isn’t usually the case,
Bad news is good news right now for investors. It seems the uglier the economic data, the more excited they become. The reason, as we cited last week was the belief this will lead to Fed interest rate cuts sooner rather than later. Investors are conditioned to believe anytime the
On Tuesday, stocks posted their best single day jump since December. Earlier in the day, the financial media attributed it to a Chinese official saying the trade dispute with the US should be resolved with “talks”, not retaliatory tariffs. Later in the afternoon, the media said the rally