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Big Picture Focus - MMM v3-49

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • December 12, 2022 • 0 Comments
Big Picture Focus - MMM v3-49

During a bear market each countermove is closely examined. Our sensitivity is heightened because psychologically losses cause twice the emotional response as gains. Throughout the year we've warned about not being sucked into the inevitable bear market rallies. The 3rd quarter started with a huge rally in October with November

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Musings,inflation,Federal Reserve

The end: A Study Through Matthew (Part 12)

By Courtney Dent • December 07, 2022 • 0 Comments
The end: A Study Through Matthew (Part 12)

Over the last 11 months, we've been going through the gospel of Matthew. We've now reached the events which we've steadily been heading towards since the beginning of Matthew. While the events we will be discussing this month aren't "rainbows and butterflies" like you might want to hear as we

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Cornerstone,Impact,Matthew

Rolling Over - MMM v3-48

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • December 05, 2022 • 0 Comments
Rolling Over - MMM v3-48

"It is likely that restoring price stability will require holding policy at a restrictive level for some time. History cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy. We will stay the course until the job is done." - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, November 30, 2022

The above statement is the only

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Musings,Economic Update,recession,Yield Spread

Tis the Season - MMM v3-47

By Jeff Hybiak, CFA • November 28, 2022 • 0 Comments
Tis the Season - MMM v3-47

Hopefully everyone had a safe and enjoyable Thanksgiving week. The stock market continued its latest bear market rally albeit on very light trading activity. The markets move in cycles and as we said for the last few weeks, it is important to understand this. Markets do not go straight down

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Musings,Federal Reserve,inflation,Bear Markets

A lot to be thankful for - MMM v3-46

By Cody Hybiak • November 21, 2022 • 0 Comments
A lot to be thankful for - MMM v3-46

Happy Thanksgiving week! I’m sure we have a lot going on and maybe don’t want to think about what’s going on with the market, so let’s keep this short.  With a crazy market year starting to wind down, we have a new week of data to

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Musings,Federal Reserve,market bubble,SEM Model Update
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The purpose of SEM’s Traders Blog is to provide simple explanations about the current market environment. It is designed to give advisors talking points about the market and for individual investors to better understand what is happening.

Each week SEM posts a Chart of the Week to illustrate one aspect of the market in a different way than you might hear in the mainstream financial media. Throughout the week other posts will be made depending on the volatility, news events, or changes in SEM’s Scientifically Engineered Models​

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