Each summer I like to take some time away from the day-to-day operations/noise to focus on bigger picture projects, research, and professional development. It's a time to work through my reading list, catch-up on the latest updates from the CFA Institute, and most importantly refresh my brain. Given that
Tag: Interest Rates
Our brains are programmed to remember more recent or very traumatic events more clearly, which makes us focus on those outcomes rather than other less memorable ones. This cycle actually drives bull and bear markets. Most investors individually follow the same emotional cycle. Since the markets are driven by humans,
Last week we learned inflation is running at the highest annualized rate since 1982. This led one Federal Reserve President (James Bullard of St. Louis) to say he will push to increase interest rates up 1% by July. Wall Street quickly upped their expectations for Fed Rate hikes to include
"The Fed controls short-term rates. The free market controls long-term rates. If the free market decides rates should be higher, they will go higher."
This is something I've said often since 2008. Most people believe the Fed can do whatever they want with interest rates. That is simply not true.
It's been exactly a year since investors woke up to the possibility that COVID19 could disrupt the "rocket ship" economy most believed we were experiencing. Investors saw little chance for anything to interrupt it. Readers of this blog and investors with SEM would have known the economy was artificially juiced