Our brains are programmed to remember more recent or very traumatic events more clearly, which makes us focus on those outcomes rather than other less memorable ones. This cycle actually drives bull and bear markets. Most investors individually follow the same emotional cycle. Since the markets are driven by humans,
Last week we learned inflation is running at the highest annualized rate since 1982. This led one Federal Reserve President (James Bullard of St. Louis) to say he will push to increase interest rates up 1% by July. Wall Street quickly upped their expectations for Fed Rate hikes to include
"The Fed controls short-term rates. The free market controls long-term rates. If the free market decides rates should be higher, they will go higher."
This is something I've said often since 2008. Most people believe the Fed can do whatever they want with interest rates. That is
It's been exactly a year since investors woke up to the possibility that COVID19 could disrupt the "rocket ship" economy most believed we were experiencing. Investors saw little chance for anything to interrupt it. Readers of this blog and investors with SEM would have known the economy was artificially
Is it possible for the last 10 weeks to have flown by, but also to feel like the longest 10 weeks of your life? The last 10 weeks have been a whirlwind and have had seemingly inconceivable developments every single day. At the same time, they've also felt like
